Sunday 29th October
Lucky 15 - small Unit @ 25p each way cost £7.50
Aintree 1.50 No Planning @ 20/1 (odds to 4th)
Aintree 2.25 Clondaw Kaempfer @ 20/1 (L - C - PP - odds to 4th)
Aintree 3.00 Oldorangewood @ 9/1
Wincanton 2.45 Boa Island @ 14/1
(see details below but maximum investment a total of £7.50)
There are 2 cracking UK meetings at Aintree and Wincanton and racing too at Galway and Wexford; in some ways the start of
some excellent NH Racing now, pretty well every Sunday, mostly over the Irish Sea but with some decent UK fare too most weeks.
The Card at Aintree is nigh on impossible to fathom, indeed, our 6 resident SP2A Daily Tipsters have nominated 6 different
horses in the 1.50 + 3.00 races, indicative of their depth and the time of the season, I could list the 6 in each and still not find
a placed horse, so the prudent thing I think is a bit of a small stakes "fun bet". I love Liverpool; I love Aintree; I love the National
Course, but I have to say that the Mildmay and Hurdle Courses there are in my humble opinion bordering on dangerous. Many
will not know that the venue was primarily a Motor Racing Circuit, staged F1 before F1 was organised as it is now and parts
of the original track are still visible, but its presence dictated that The Mildmay Circuit is very tight and certainly the Hurdles
Track is a NH equivalent of Chester. That means horses (especially on Good ground) go a yard too fast and there have been
horrendous injuries there; any loss of momentum of a bad jump can be race ending in terms of opportunity. I always think
the great paradox of the "do gooders" who have neutered the National Course, would have had far greater sympathy, had
they targeted the Mildmay Course, it's all about opinions of course, but I always hope here that fundamentally they all survive.
So; with uber competitive fields and early season on Good Going where there could be too many run off their feet in a frentic
pace, and sadly may be a lot of fallers, lets look for a bit of sporting value and a small unit Lucky 15.
Aintree
1.50 NO PLANNING - a very deep race, hard to rule anything out and frankly impossible to definitively tip anything
hand on heart; so I will have a bash with NO PLANNING; needed seasonal debut; style of running will suit; Trainer
does well here because her horses are tutored to jump properly and accurately at speed and a decent e/w price.
2.25 CLONDAW KAEMPFER - desperately unlucky not to pop up for us here in April at 33/1 and would have but for
a last flight error. The horse likes it here; Trainer and Jockey in cracking form as we know from our own profit from
them in recent weeks and a nice price and early season form is not a positive but neither is is a negative.
3.00 The first 5 last season re-appear, must stress a great race but on Mildmay not National Course, again, you could
pick 10 and still not find the winner, we picked OLDORANGEWOOD out for mention on seasonal debut at Chepstow;
travelled like a dream in to that race but did not pick up, back over fences will be SPOT ON for this and although
least experienced at the Course, looks to be a horse with huge amount of potential and another from a yard whose
gene pool allows them to teach horses how to jump accurately and boldly (Nick Skelton here as opposed to Harvey Smith).
Wincanton
2.45 A competitive Chase but we will have a little dabble on the Nicholls second string. Desperately needed seasonal debut;
but is a Course winner and dropped back to right Grade, off a racing mark of 125 (132-7lbs) is bang in contention and the
7lbs comes from Harry Morshead (I assume he is son of Sam??); he rode a brilliant and eye catching race to win for us
a few weeks ago on Orbasa, a horse most had written off, and some called me names for tipping before the race, but
not after, clearly a young man who is a fine horse-man, one to watch and I have a hunch a place at least here.
Those are the tips then for today, a day when we might find 4 great winners, but more likely the depth and competitiveness
and early season fluctuations, would have a negative impact on the betting bank, one to watch; learn and note; and to
enjoy; and have just a small passing interest in the small accumulator above.