Clonmel 2.00

SEAN - Clonmel 2.00 Handicap Hurdle - 2 miles 3 furlongs - 16 run - Yielding to Soft.
 
A pretty compressed market here with some likely deadwood at the bottom of it.
 
Plenty have good each way chances but at below 10/1 there are so many it's tough to find real value.
 
All The Chimneys has Course and Distance form with wins and runner up in a Chase and Hurdle most recently but a hUrdle mark of 95 looks opposable. Crack On Corrie won its last Hurdle race off 88 at Fairyhouse and we tipped when 4th over fences last time but the revised hurdle mark of 94 just puts me off at tight odds. It's hard to know what the best trip is for Boghlone Honey but it's interesting now it's had a run and a danger for sure, Brosna Rocco looks best at 2 miles but has place form at the trip and Eagle Roque who was 3rd last time out has a squeak too off a mark of 89.
 
Any of those popping up would be no surprise but I was left with a shortlist of 3.
 
The veteran DAMUT is a Course winner for Mick Winters, he has had 2 runs and is a better Chaser so a further hurdle run here is a bit of a surprise and it may be worth a bit of shrapnel purely down to its connections who are known for a tilt at the ring.
 
My main picks though will be LOVELY MOON who gets an 11lbs pull for a 4 and 1/2 lenght defeat to Crack on Corrie last time, it pulled a bit hard in that race and that's my only niggle here on the long downhill back straight, but if the horse can be more restrained and hit the rising ground with something in the tank it looks well handicapped at the odds.
 
REBEL CHAUD may have more scope to improve than most of these and has been steadily getting the hang of things, 3rd of 16 off this mark last time in similar company and if running to that level would go similarly closer or better still today.
 
Trackers - Lovely Moon + Rebel Chaud.