Doncaster 1.34 Damier - 1 point each way + Stonemadforspeed - 1 point each way
A Class 5 race over 3 miles and 1/2 furlong and interesting to see that much of the proven form at the trip is on more turning right handed Courses than this galloping left hand Course with its long home straight. I always think you need a horse here that will "run to the line" and that is a clear aspect of the analysis. At the top and towards the head of the market I think the best value is DAMIER who ran well for a long way at Ludlow last time out, indeed travelled noticeably well and was very well supported by some shrewd stable money too. This track should suit better and looks to be one of the few with some possible improvement to come. I can't ignore the inconsistent but always dangerous STONEMADFORSPEED and what Venetia Williams said about one of her's at the weekend came to my mind when looking at this one. It's not always the form (the horse can and has won at the trip over further and on Good Going and off comparable marks) its all about what's in the horses head on a given day. This one can win this on any form analysis, IF it puts it in. Recent runs are poor but that simply means a "good one" is due, and frankly I'm very tempted by the price and the quality of the race, so will have "a pop".
There is one other in this race that intrigues me and which I will watch and TRACK and if it wins will take the fact I have not backed it on the chin but feel comfortable at spotting the potential as I just need to see one glimmer of something before being "all over it like a rash" - GRAND ENTERPRISE won CD in this Class in January 2017 off 95, then runner up off 101 in C4, had a fall when upsides at the last at Cartmel in May 2017 and since in just 3 runs has been PU PU PU, but ran better to a point last time when breaking a blood vessel. Had it tired last time I may have had a few bob on it today, that blood vessel issue just sways me away but a clear round and no health issues would make this one to track very seriously as health and confidence restored, it clearly has ability there.