Newton Abbot 3.50

Newton Abbot 3.50 4 Billy My Boy - 1 point each way @ 9/1 (WH / BV + SKY) - Odds to 4th place

He has a 12lbs pull with Chantcler who is clear favourite here for a 16 length defeat last time and at face value that is not enough to win. However; looking at the race and reading the excellent analysis in the Racing Post Online, it is clear that the winner that day had the run of the race and it looks sure to be a different race in this bigger field. The race is moderate but Chris Down punches above his weight here and the jockey is in my opinion under-rated and under-used by better yards and at the prices with odds to 4th; I thought the best each way value of the day. Hoover Fever will draw attention due to connections and the drop in trip may help and Kublai was runner up in this race last year off a mark of 91, so that may be a Tricast Perm hint for you to dabble in, if you wish (tricast not tipped).