Round 4 Hallstavik Sweden - Saturday 7th July

The tips and analysis this week comes from David (Ian is having a weekend off but will be back in 2 weeks for the Cardiff GP)

Round 4 – HALLSTAVIK – Sweden – Saturday 7th July

 

To summarise, therefore, my tips (with prices) are as follows:-

1. JASON DOYLE (6/1 William Hill)

2. FREDDIE LINDGREN (13/2 generally)

3. GREG HANCOCK (11/1 – Bet365/Skybet)

4. EMIL SAYFUTDINOV (16/1 – Skybet)

 

All e/w ¼ odds, first 3 places.

 

 

The Swedish GP this week-end is, for the first time, being held at Hallstavik’s Bygg Arena.

 

The event takes place almost immediately straight after The Swedish football team has

played a World Cup Quarter-Final against England in Russia and the locals will, of course, be

hoping for a big sporting double with Freddie Lindgren, who currently sits 2nd in the

standings, and local boy Andreas Jonsson lining up for the hosts.

 

The track is reported to be one that favours riders who make the gate and can be very slick

so it may be that an inside draw in the early races will be key before the dirt, and racing-line, gets pushed out a bit wider later on. We shall see.

 

Tai Woffinden has described the track as one of the most “boring” he has ridden but he also

said that about Prague and that didn’t stop him performing well there. Given the form he is

in, he is surely still the one to beat. Following his win in Horsens last Saturday, he was back

in Poland on Sunday racking up another big score for his side over there but then, in typical

Tai fashion, he refused to race for his Swedish team on Tuesday in protest over some unpaid

invoices. Life is never dull with him around!

 

He is the one to beat but the bookies are taking no chances with him and his odds, for a 16

runner contest, are pretty restrictive for me. I, therefore, want to consider a few others who

may offer some value at their current prices.

 

Andreas Jonsson and JASON DOYLE both currently ride for Rospiggarna in The Swedish

League so this track is their ‘home track’ and they should be used to it.

 

GREG HANCOCK, who is now Swedish-based, also rode here for 14 years so is another who will know his way around the circuit.

 

JASON DOYLE showed welcome signs of a return to form when making the final at Horsens

and who knows what would have happened if he’d been able to actually race rather than

being excluded for a tapes offence. Being World Champion has weighed a little heavily on

his shoulders this year, and it has proven very difficult over the years to win back-to-back

titles, but his league form has been good in recent weeks and, with Tai now scorching clear

in this year’s championship, he is, perhaps, no longer the one with the main target on his

back. On his home track, and with a draw that doesn’t look too bad to me, I think he can go

well here and he’s one of my main fancies for making The Final at least.

 

Another who showed a welcome return to form in Denmark was GREG HANCOCK. Now that

was a temporary track, and he is a rider who has a very good record on tracks of that

nature, but he does have knowledge of this track (albeit most of it was over a decade ago)

and he seems to have his machinery back in fine working order. Even at his age he remains

extremely competitive and is a good each-way price again here. His current wife is, originally, from

this town and it would be an emotional win for him should he prevail.

 

Having slipped 10 points behind TAI WOFFINDEN in the title race, there is no doubt that

FREDDIE LINDGREN will be fired up to make a big impression in his home nation’s GP.

Having started the series so well, for whatever reason, ‘Fast Freddie’ was off the pace a little

in Denmark and, although he was ultimately undone by a tapes exclusion, he was unable to

find the same speed and consistency he had in the previous two GP’s. He will, no doubt,

have had his crew working on all of the issues experienced that night and I think he can

bounce back to form here.

 

When looking for a ‘dark horse’ for this meeting, I did strongly consider the ‘Wildcard’

ANDREAS JONSSON and the runner-up from the last meeting, ARTEM LAGUTA.

AJ has plenty of experience in GP’s and, as previously mentioned, this is his home track so

he could go well. LAGUTA was very close, indeed, to being my 4 th pick following his excellent

performance last time out and his excellent form, in general, in the series so far but, in the

end , I have just come down on the side of his Russian team-mate EMIL SAYFUTDINOV. He

was one of my ‘lively outsider’ picks at the start of the season and is currently sitting in 3 rd

place in the overall standings following some consistent performances in all 3 GP’s so far

(including a podium finish in Prague). He looks, finally, to be returning to the levels he was

riding at 5 or 6 years ago and he has a decent draw here, with 2 inside gates in the first 12

heats. He is involved in what promises to be a ‘crackerjack’ race in heat 19 when he lines up

against Lindgren, Laguta and Holder but, hopefully, he will have already booked his semi-

final spot by then.

 

To summarise, therefore, my tips (with prices) are as follows:-

 

1. JASON DOYLE (6/1 William Hill)

2. FREDDIE LINDGREN (13/2 generally)

3. GREG HANCOCK (11/1 – Bet365/Skybet)

4. EMIL SAYFUTDINOV (16/1 – Skybet)

 

All e/w ¼ odds, first 3 places.