SPEEDWAY GP - Round 6 Malilla Sweden - Saturday 11th August
Round 6 of the SPEEDWAY GP rolls in to Sweden this weekend and our Analysis and Tipping rotation hands over to the very capable hands of David Corns.
I will be back for Round 7 in 2 weeks time in Gorzow in Poland - so with no further ado - over to David
Tips first and then the Analysis from David, lets see if he can keep our great run going.
It seems like an age since the last meeting in Cardiff but, this week-end, the Speedway GP series moves back to Sweden, to the G&B Arena in Malilla to be precise, where the riders will be competing in The Scandinavian Grand Prix.
The track has been hosting a GP since 2005 and measures 305 metres. It is rated as one of the best tracks used in the GP series and has produced some excellent racing in the past.
There are 3 riders currently competing in the GP series who ride at the circuit on a regular basis as they are all members of the current leaders of the Elitserien League, Dackarna. The three concerned are Maciej Janowski, Patryk Dudek and Greg Hancock and all of them could go well here after having scored big points earlier this week as they won the table-topping clash with Rospiggarna.
The favourite with the bookies, again, is TAI WOFFINDEN and he showed, once again, last time at Cardiff that he is the rider the others all have to beat. He didn’t win that GP but that won’t have worried him too much as he finished in 2nd and extended his lead in the overall standings to 20 points. He really is a man focussed on his mission this year and at the top of his game and will be the one to beat here again.
The winner at Cardiff was BARTOSZ ZMARZLIK and the flying Pole was the victor in this Scandinavian GP last year, when winning a thrilling final and breaking the hearts of the Swedish fans, who had 2 riders to cheer in the race, when sweeping round the outside on the last bend to snatch victory. He showed he was still in form last weekend when making the final of the Polish National Championship where he was, perhaps somewhat harshly, excluded. After a rather indifferent start to the GP season, Bartosz has steadily improved over the last few GPs and his 3rd GP win at Cardiff came after a podium finish in The Swedish GP the round before that. He was a winning tip last time out for Ian and is another one who could be very much in the mix here.
FREDDIE LINDGREN had a frustrating and, ultimately, disappointing night at Cardiff and he will be determined to bounce back here, in his home country, in a bid to eat into the lead of Tai Woffinden at the top of the standings so far. In fairness, he didn’t have the best of the draw at Cardiff and was playing ‘catch up’ from early on. He’s a had a couple of ‘blips’ now in the last 3 GPs and cannot afford any more if he is to realise his long-held dream of claiming the World Championship. He was in the form of his life earlier in the campaign and showed glimpses of that when winning his National title for the first time last weekend. He made the final here 12 months ago, finishing 3rd, and will be looking for another podium at the very least this time around. He has a good chance of achieving that if back on song and getting a bit more fortune.
Whilst Freddie is currently in 2nd in the overall standings, hot on his heels, just 2 points behind after a good Cardiff GP, is MACIEJ JANOWSKI. He was one of my pre-season advices and a ‘dark horse pick’ and is certainly not letting his supporters down so far. I really enjoy watching this guy ride and, whilst he can sometimes throw in an absolute ‘stinker’ of a ride, once he gets on a roll he is difficult to stop. He has been pretty consistent so far this series, one disappointing meeting in Prague aside, and has made the final 3 times in the first 5 GPs. The fact that this is his home track and he made the final last year makes him a solid contender for the first 3 once more, in my opinion, and he had a good meeting last weekend when finishing 2nd in The Polish National Championship.
Whilst a number of riders will know this track pretty well, from racing regularly in The Swedish League, it must be an advantage to ride it regularly as your home track and, for that reason alone, both GREG HANCOCK and PATRYK DUDEK have to come under serious consideration. The former may be 48 years old now but he continues to defy his age and has been racing really well in the last few meetings. At Cardiff, for instance, he was excellent, after a bad first race, and made the final with some ease. He has been steadily climbing the standings with each GP and now sits a very creditable 6th in the overall table, just 8 points off 2nd place. He’s not one to be dismissed too lightly here.
PATRYK DUDEK is young rider who possibly exceeded all expectations last year when finishing 2nd in the overall championship. He has not really fired yet this year but has still made 1 final and another 2 semi-finals. He has been steady rather than spectacular but does have a lot of talent and is capable of beating anybody on his day. The fact that he rides here regularly should be a help and, at the current odds, represents a sporting bet at making the first 3.
Another rider performing consistently this season is EMIL SAYFUTDINOV. He has made 1 final and 3 semi-finals so far in the 5 rounds raced and has looked somewhere near the form he was showing when first bursting on the GP scene 5 or 6 years ago. His record at this venue stands up well to scrutiny with his last 3 GP appearances resulting in 1 final and 2 semi-finals so he is another worthy of strong consideration.
Of the others competing, ARTEM LAGUTA has performed well so far this season and, if at the top of his form, is more than capable of reaching the final.
JASON DOYLE, with the exception of one GP, has not really fired so far this season but, having been there to witness it personally, he can be thankful he is even able to compete after his ‘horror’ crash at Cardiff. He is, however, if nothing else, a tough competitor and deserves some luck somewhere along the way. It’s just not happening, however, for him this year and I’m not sure he’s going to trouble the podium places here.
CRAIG COOK rode very well at Cardiff, having shown a glimpse of what he could do at Sweden in the round beforehand, and, if he can continue the fast-gating prowess he has shown in recent GPs, he may be capable of reaching a semi-final again. It is, however, a big ask and, with all due respect, he does not have the machinery and back-up of some of the ‘big guns’ and is always facing an uphill battle.
So, having considered all of this and, taking note of the current odds available, where do I think the best value lies in regards to potential bets?
The obvious pick is TAI WOFFINDEN but I want to pick 3 for each-way purposes so my 3 against the field are:-
- 1. FREDDIE LINDGREN (8/1 – LADBROKES/CORAL)
- 2. MACIEJ JANOWSKI (6/1 – LADBROKES/CORAL)
- 3. PATRYK DUDEK (16/1 – GENERAL)
ALL E/W 1st 3 PLACES AT ¼ ODDS.
As a small side bet for some fun, I’m going to take the current 50/1 on offer, with Skybet, for a Dual Forecast on Freddie Lindgren and Patryk Dudek to finish 1-2. We landed a similar bet in the first GP (at 28/1) when Tai and Maciej filled the 1st 2 places so let's hope we can repeat the dose here!