We are in the midst of such an unusual weather pattern that days with decent Betting Opportunities may be few and far between for a while so today is the most interesting looking for a while, decent couple of Handicaps at Thirsk; a cracking Card at Worcester, where it would appear they have flooded the track with the River Severn in a positive way for once (Good Going stick reading also indicates lets hope its not overdone); and a race at Musselburgh where pace and draw makes a small bet and Tricast of interest see below for some Tricast thoughts). We really need to get in to a Tipping and Winning rhythm and hopefully today can kick start both!
A couple of mentions yesterday and SOLVEIGS SONG advised at 16/1 was a shade unlucky not to pick up some each way profit, led briefly at the 1 furlong pole but was on the wrong side of the Course on the far rail and swept up by horses finishing fast on preferred bit of ground, I think you can mark that run up, and if it comes back out under similar conditions, and ridden a bit more for the obvious track bias, might yet pop in at a nice price. TALLYS SON was also in contention for a long way but drawn 2 was another running on the wrong part of the track at the business end of the race, and interesting comment from the ATR Presenter (I think Zoe - not sure what her surname is now was a Hannon at one time); who said that the shade from the large Stand may have stopped the sun from drying ground right out on that side so horses likely to benefit from better strip of turf.
A couple of speculative decent priced each way mentions, ran OK but ultimately losers, so disappointing.
Maybe these 8-9 runner handicaps that we seem to be inundated with; could offer a different Betting angle when there is so little each way value; during this ongoing hot spell. I followed my own advice yesterday, in the 3.45 at Hamilton, which we indicated was a very tight call between the top 4 in the betting (at the time) and sure enough, they came home 1-2-3 and a £111.30 Trifecta (Tricast was £77 and a few pence). I did 5 x £2 lines mixing the numbers up; so equivalent of a 10/1 winner. We have regularly indicated specific Tricast Perms and had some success, although they do not drop very often, but these smaller field races on firm Going could be ripe for some small stake punts using Tricasts; whilst the quality and quantity per race is dire and not likely to improve in the heatwave.
I generally get a telling off when we try to introduce anything as complicated as a formal Tricast; but I know some like a dabble, so we will point a few out in the notes (won't be in the tips box so as not to annoy those who just want that box kept very simple) for any who are interested; and we will see how it pans out, as until we get sustained and appreciable rain, I think there are going to be far fewer tips as simply not the races or value about to justify it, or back with confidence. I've had a few very interesting e-mails from those Members who have or have had shares in horses, broadly backing up my notion; that most astute Trainers will increasingly not risk susceptible horses on firm/hard Going.
Tips today are from Michael Gould with his Showcase Race at Worcester and tips also from Thirsk from The Professor and Placespotter and a smattering of "mentions" and a couple of Tricast perms.