beneath the surface, easy to see that many runs have been on tracks/conditions not ideally suited to

him and as a result the falling handicap mark gives him a great chance if you look purely at his form at

this track, on this surface, over this trip. This looks a very good chance when you assess the race here.

He is drawn high, not considered an advantage here, but he can be dropped in and come wide up

the straight and if he runs up to his usual "Kempton mark" as opposed to his overall handicap mark

has a chance of some nice profit at a nice price.