Gowran Park 5.00
Gowran Park 5.00 Handicap - 16 run (reserves ensure guaranteed places) Soft > Yielding
A galloping track where they need a bit of proven stamina to get up the hill. The start is close to the first bend they encounter so a low draw can be an advantage if breaking well but a handicap if not as you can get trapped behind a wall of horses. A fast starter from wider draw though can dictate the pace and running prominently is an asset here.
At the top end of the market Pretty Rebel drawn in 1 would have a great chance on all turf form but a tendency to break slowly may mean you have to take a trouble free passage on trust. At the Odds i have enough doubt about that luck in running aspect to look elsewhere and Sister Lola and Soineanta also near the head of the market are more proven on the AW at Dundalk than softish turf. The most likely is reserve MURAAHIN who is a big danger with a run and if you want to gamble a few quid at 5/1 as a reserve it's a possibly good call as with a run it would be 5/2..
Of the remainder Breaking News looks solid, handles soft and heavy indeed the niggle is it may dry out too much. Hero of The Hour is worth very close inspection at big Odds and was nearly a selection, makes handicap debut but should handle Going and one who will be one to follow if running a decent race off this opening mark.
My idea of the winner is MONZOON drawn in Stall 3, has a nice handicap mark, decent on this Going and the drop in trip won't be an issue and is probably the right call. MULZAMM won this last year off a mark of 62, won again later off a mark of 68, arrives here off a mark of 69 and a draw in Stall 13 is not a particular worry as it won this from stall 11 last year.
I'll also have a small investment in MARY SALOME who is interesting on basis of a couple of prominent runs over a mile where it built up a nice lead but didn't quite get home. If it can trap as well as it usually does from stall 15 and get a nice lead around the bend it's the type who could slip the field, especially if there is scrummaging down amongst the lower drawn and 7 furlongs with this run style might be the optimum trip.
TIP - MONZOON / Trackers - Mary Salome + Mulzamm (listed in order of preference in case you only want to back tip or tip and one tracker)