Pontefract 3.15

A field of 12 and whilst the top 3 in the market look very solid, we will try to find some each way value.
 
Clon Coulis won this last year, very impressive on seasonal debut at Royal Ascot and looks primed to win this but Odds are very restrictive. Billesdon Brook needs no introduction to any of us around last May as she won the 2018 1000 Guineas as a confident tip at 100/1 and although not going on from that, it was not surprising as you will recall she was one of 2 in that 1000 Guineas with form (at the time) at the trip and was simply more forward than others who have since improved past her. She had to wait until most recent AW run to win again, and I can't see her as value either here. The other market leader is Threading, who ended 2018 poorly, on best earlier 2018 form would have a great chance but again I don't think 4/1 represents value. They may come home 1-2-3 but with them all shorter than 4/1 - I want something a bit tastier price wise.
 
PATTIE is interesting from the Channon yard who love flying Fillies in to this type of race at big prices as a 66/1 3rd in this year proves. Has a Course win too to her name and looks a good smaller stake Tracker pick on the basis of last years race and Course form. Vivanite could be the pace angle here and not out of the question it could get an easy lead and stay on and lead a long way in to the race but that probability opens up another possibility that I am keen to explore.
 
EXHORT has a 1 mile pedigree but has been running over 10 furlongs. On occasions held up and delivered but lacking a finishing kick, on other occasions running prominently but too fresh. The drop in trip is NOT an obvious move but Richard Fahey enlists his old "go to man" in Paul Hanaghan and I think they will ride very prominently and look to get a nice tow off Vivanite and use the extra bit of stamina to try to get to the line with the specialist milers in her wake. It is a speculative bet and may be the wrong tactical analysis, but I can't see why they are entered here is they don't want a bash and the running style indicated would seem the best way to get the desired result. We shall see!
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