(Sean) Leopardstown 5.50
This is a competitive Mile handicap with 20 declared plus reserves. Not great quality but with a draw bias favouring those drawn in single digits and some decent Course form to follow I was able to narrow down to 3 horses.
WATERMELON BAY is a horse selected not long ago who is very consistent in this grade and therefore gets top weight and heads the market. The 7/1 aprox is good each way value in the context of the race and the draw in Stall 6 looks perfect. With all Bookies paying to 4th place and many to 5th it has something of the look of an each way banker. The only niggle I have is the lack of conversion of solid runs in to wins but I will have a 50% stake each way saver to cover a pair at better Odds that I equally fancy.
AIRGEAD is drawn in Stall 4, started well this season but flopped as favourite next time out at a Track that may not have totally suited. Ran much better last time over Course and Distance and with some confidence restored I think is ready to strike and can't find any reason or excuses why it should not be bang in contention.
My biggest e/w confidence though lies with EYEOWEYOU who has moved to Karl Thornton and I think immediately given a chance at it's best trip, a mile in a fast paced race, from a nice draw in Stall 7. Best run recently was 3rd over Course and Distance and move to what I think is a much better and in form Yard could just sharpen the horse up and the double figure odds are very appealing.