Soft going is key here,, low draw is usually best place to be but on soft Going a pitch right by the rail is less vital, although winning from High is not impossible but quite rare.
I narrowed down to 6 horses, and actually changed one selection very late on.
I think that Hey Pretty drawn in stall 1 would probably prefer better Going, was seemingly a bit unlucky last time out and could well "make all" but just not quite a tip today. Texas Radio is consistent but another with slight Going concerns and drawn 12 leads me to wait for another day but will Track closely as I think a win is near and would have been a tip if drawn lower. BOBBY JEAN (28/1) is most interesting as has been running over a lot further than this, drops back to a trip it has won off on ideal ground, drawn 2 but may have to pass a wall of horses. The Odds will allow me a "small tracker level stake" as could sneak a place if there is a fast pace to aim at.
That left me with 3 and the prime tip is CRACKING NAME who is a Course and Distance winner, runs well off this kind of break and just 2lbs above last CD win mark, a draw in the right kind of place and will be very disappointing if not right in contention and a place at least. I was going to tip DOOGANS WARREN (16/1) well backed last time out, could be a nice mark but the more i looked the more to Going worried me and the more I looked at mud loving YOUCEEYOUCEECEE who has every tick n the right box here and one I think will follow Cracking name Home and I'll have a small Tricast Perm with Doogans Warren.
- Tips -: CRACKING NAME / YOUCEEYOUCEECEE and Tricast Doogans Warren and small e/w Tracker on Bobby Jean.