Sunday 26th November
Exeter 12.55 6 Minella Gathering - 1/2 point each way @ 11/2
Exeter 1.25 10 Quinto @ 7/1 / 8 Abbeygrey @ 16/1 - 1/2 point each way each
Navan Troytown 2.35 - 3 Mala Beach @ 9/1 / 20 Whatareyoudoingtome @ 16/1 / 8 Bonny Kate @ 20/1
(see notes below for staking - SkyBet odds to 6th, Lad/B365/Cora/PP to 5th)
Here is the logic for the tips and a few more pointers
MINELLA GATHERING looks by far the most solid option in the opening race at Exeter with fitness; Going; Trip all fine;
the price at 11/2 looks better value than the favourite, whose fitness and well being we have to take on trust. Of the rest;
I would be worried about the trip for Steel Express, Whiskey John and Moonlight Flyer and the Going will not be ideal based
on known form so far for Ochos Rios and Drive On Locky; the other small side bet may be a very small few bob on Admiral
Blake, may well be "gone" but won't get a better chance again than on some old form and might, if anything left in the tank
outrun the current odds of 25/1 or higher but MINELLA GATHERING, with luck in running looks an each way banker.
In the 1.25 I just prefer the form of QUINTO to All Kings based on recent race here, not always good to focus on the form of
one race though so I will include All Kings in a Tricast/ Reverse Forecast perm. Braw Angus looks solid if unappealing at 3/1;
Crown Hill is a danger on form, but I'm not sure that the hill will suit and ABBEYGREY is very well handicapped on some
old Hurdles form. You have to take well being on trust after a poor run over Fences, but if you look back to last year, they
dropped the horse in here over Hurdles and it hosed up with Trainers daughter on board. Runs here with stable jockey up;
the conditions, trip; Going are ideal, and if the trick works again, then 16/1 looks ridiculously long. Grab it and BOG it if you
re up early enough. I will include All Kings/Braw Angus in a small Tricast perm.
Lets have 2 more suggestions, I cant split Castarnie and Umberto D'Ollivate in the 1.55 but not confident enough to actually
tip either, so on Course I shall have a small few quid in win singles and a reverse forecast, but just any loose change in my pocket.
In the TROYTOWN; I will limit myself to a bet of £10 in cash value and have a couple of pounds each way on MALA BEACH;
WHATAREYOUDOINGTOME and BONNY KATE, I think Conditions, trip and Course will favour all three and have a hunch
on form analysis that Mala Beach is best Elliott chance, Whatareyoudoingtome is best low weight and Bonny Kate is best
fresh and her best form, seems to be around this time of the year/season/cycle. I will have a small Tricast too to use all of
the £10 allocated to the race.