Worcester 5.15

Worcester 5.15

2 DOTTIES DILEMNA - 2 point win @ 5/1 - (Sky + WH)  

Lads + Coral + Sky - go odds to 4th place so use those if you can e/w and Sky are best odds on all 3 selections

(M) 9 WALTER ONEIGHTONE - 1/2 point each way @ 12/1 (BV + Sky - Sky odds to 4th place )
(M) 12 CULM COUNCELLOR - 1/2 point each way @ 33/1 (Coral + Sky - who both go odds to 4th place)

The enhanced place odds with 3 major Bookies is the way in here. We will proof the e/w bets as "mentions" as they are 1/2 point each way and not 1 point each way bets. IF you think 5/1 is excellent value for DOTTIES DILEMNA then consider an each way saver at 1 point each way instead of 2 point win - leave that to your discretion.

DOTTIES DILEMNA is a Course and Distance winner last September off a mark of 90. It subsequently won at Southwell off a mark of 98 in November and has won on Good and run well on Good to Firm and has a P2P win on firm. The Bowen yard usually have a fine spell in mid summer, and it looks the one to beat here having had a sighter last time out. Flying Verse suddenly  clicked at Southwell last time upped in trip, but the quirky nature of that track and a 9lbs rise leads me to think DD is the better value. Indian Reel may just need a bit more cut in the ground, a small chance of a shower, may come too late for it.

We tipped WALTER ONEIGHTONE to win at Bangor in October at 8/1 off a mark of 88 when the Yard was in awful form. It had a wind operation after that and needed a recent run. They retain all kinds of aids and you feel that the horse has untapped potential still when it "clicks". The 12/1 with BV and SKY and the odds to 4th with Sky makes the early 12/1 look good each way value with ideal conditions and the mark of 95 looks reasonable in the context of a decent run off similar at Taunton in a tougher race.

The speculative value is almost certainly CULM COUNSELLOR back over hurdles, where more than once it has "sprung back to life" off similar marks. With Coral and Sky offering odds to 4th and 33/1 one we can't leave unbacked. It won back over hurdles after poor Chase runs (same scenario as here) off a mark of 81 last October and trainer Chris Down and jockey James Davies remain a bit under the radar and always dangerous in these low Grade long Distance Hurdle races and with past form under these conditions is a bit of a "page jumper" with odds to 4th place at 33/1.  Those 3 might make a nice Tricast Perm (with Flying Verse).
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