Huntingdon 1.30 3 Balibour @ 11/2 (see staking/logic)
I have a small stake in a few Ian Williams Racing Club horses (with Ian of SP2A) and we have been made aware
that most of the horses have been having annual flu jabs, and also that Ian cut back on work just before Christmas as the gallops
had 2 large dollops of snow and ice in a 7 day period, so we don't think his favourite here (Sunnytaliateigan) is great value; that's
not to say it won't win, on the book t should do, but no value given what we know. The trip may not be ideal for Le Capriceux
so the value would seem to be with BALIBOUR. The yard is in a consistent spell of form, trip and Going look fine, indeed it may
need a bit further, but the pace here looks assured. It placed behind a couple of hot Nicholls and King prospects last time, beating
an equally well regarded Harry Fry horse, and just loos good value at 11/2 and whilst I have 1 point each way; if you want a
2 point win bet; I would not put you off and if it goes below 5/1; obviously back it to win.
(We hear of similar flu-jab and easing back on training just before Christmas from 2 other yards that Tipsters/ I have horses
in and they are the John Spearing yard and also Fergal O'Brien and that explains why we are waiting for Barton Gift to come
back out for JS, and may explain the slight lull in form of some FO'B horses in the past 2 weeks, that being the period that
horses have to be on the "easy list" after their jabs.)
The dangers are most likely to be the Jonjo horse but hard to be confident about that on form and the bigger danger on some
past form is Prettylittlething; but that seems to have gone a bit sour Chasing and has to prove well being back over Hurdles.