Lingfield 2.40

Lingfield 2.40 7 General Girling @ 16/1 / 11 Burgess Dream @ 10/1

(1/4 point each way on each horse ; sadly no enhanced places so odds to 3rd place)

UPDATED at 8.45am - apparently SKYBET paying "odds to 4th but may be customer only offer so please check"

The first thing to say is that this is a very poor race, Class 7, nearly 3 miles and the Going Report and Stick readings

are similar to meetings here when horses were well strung out and those who went too hard too soon suffered accordingly.

There are 3 very logical and likely winners at the head of the market, For Carmel we tipped last time and was runner up;
most likely to win from the front but a very short turnaround. Very Live is well supported but 3 runs beyond 2 and a half miles
have suggested that this horse does not want a slog in the mud. Kings Cross comes from a yard finally finding form; it is
a punting yard that traditionally has about 46 cold weeks a year and 2-3 very hot spells; when they are hot they sizzle but
at the price the lack of proven form over an extended trip in deep mud is a glaring omission, it can handle ground but look

back indicates that the final 2 furlongs could hurt it, especially if Brennan uses the more proven strength on For Carmel.

There is nothing in this race you can rule in or out with certainty; it is moderate at best, Carqalin has been in 2 good yards
and has glimmers of form but no more; Irsih Octave can win races but conditions and mark/weight suggest not today;
Itoldyou will plod on and could pick off those who go too hard up front, but perhaps not here at Lingfield; Gowell even has
some very strong form but after a long break may still need the run. I would be VERY KEEN on Veauce De Sivola here
but for the fact it usually needs 2 runs to get fit, it won 3rd time out here last season off a mark of 72, runs off 77-5 and
is as likely to win as the top 3 in the market, but in its 2nd run back last season needed the run and was beaten by one
of my two picks here. It is more a process of elimination than a champions crowning but we will have 1/4 point ew on
BURGESS DREAM; better over Hurdles, decent enough Chaser, Course specialist runner up in this last year when
beaten by a horse who would be 10/1 ON in this field today. Will plod and plod and most likely to pick off tiring horses
who have gone a pace too fast too early. GENERAL GIRLING has a habit of popping up at big odds; always needs
2-3 runs and new Trainer will know that; this is more speculative but have a view that its best form, which appears once
in a blue moon off this kind of mark is imminent - worth a shot in a dire race!