Thurles 4.25

THURLES 4.25 - Handicap Hurdle - 2 miles 7 furlongs - Soft to Heavy (possible rain or snow) - 15 run with reserves
 
The Going should not be very deep here, it never is and we'll assume genuine soft to heavy Going. Frost and Snow would seem the bigger issue but they don't use Frost covers.
 
At the head of the market MEMORY OF YOUTH looks very strong, career best runner up last time following a similar run at Naas, best form is at 2 miles 4 furlongs or thereabouts, has placed in a 3 mile P2P , the extended trip is a small niggle, the fact it pulled up here after a jumping error on only previous Course run is another. Looks solid win value though if 5/2 or more and you may wish to have a win saver accordingly. 
 
Presenting Point was a recent Chase winner in similar conditions, Pulled Up though off a 9lbs penalty over Fences last time, reverts to Hurdles off that last win mark though so a big danger if showing that level of form. Previous hurdles form though is not as convincing and this may be a confidence booster or to make sure no under-lying health issues. At the price I'd see it less confidently than Memory of Youth.
 
SEANGOELL ticks every box for me and with the pair in the market above it does represent good each way banker material. Placed over 2 miles 5 furlongs and 3 miles on heavy, won a 3 mile P2P on heavy, nice mark of 90 with a 3 lbs Claimer who is excellent value. The banker each way for me in the race.
 
Of the others, Winsor Vixen will be a danger but best form is on better ground and Knock Na Rea who is looking progressive has career best form at around 2 and a half miles and yet to conclusively prove stamina. Queen Of Fame is very interesting and a couple of runner up efforts, both when 100/1 catch the eye. They were both at Punchestown though and the price today will be around a tenth of that, Going and trip are fine but just a question of what the horse can do away from Punchestown, I'm prepared to cond=sider, not as well. Wouldn't be a shock winner but some with better Course credentials interest me.
 
At big Odds Chapter Two could outrun them if reproducing some interest P2P form and a pair with some eye catching form at nice double figure Odds are MY NEWBROOK ROSE and BALLYMADIN
 
My Newbrook Rose was a Course and Distance winner off a mark of 83 and has won a 3 mile P2P and runs off 88. When winning the Trainer said it could handle soft but not heavy. This Course as we have said rarely gets heavy so in that context looks well handicapped and should handle the ground. Ballymallin has won on heavy at 2 miles 4 furlongs, won at a similar trip at Down Royal on Soft. It probably gets the trip and is off a nice mark. It's a very tight call for me to split them but I just favour the CD form of MY NEWBROOK ROSE if it's not too heavy.
 
I'll have a TRACKER each way on SEANGOELL and a slightly smaller each way on MY NEWBROOK ROSE and a small T/Cast perm to cover Ballymalin.