Newton Abbot 4.13

ROBIN - Newton Abbot 4.13 - Handicap Hurdle - Class 5 - 2 miles 5 and 1/2 furlongs - 12 run - Going Good
 
I think there could be some value in here at nice prices with the top of the market not looking especially solid.
 
Little Jessture has a recent Course win over much shorter so there has to be stamina concerns , Cardboard Gangster won at Perth yesterday and I'm not sure a 400 mile trip right down here in a horsebox is ideal preparation?. Cry Wolf was a winner last time out and gets a 4lbs penalty, the wins have been at further and on that basis I think it's vulnerable.
 
Henry Box Brown on the other hand for Evan Williams steps up in trip markedly and other than being trained by Paul Nicholls I can't find much to recommend Huelgoat.
 
The pair that stand out as value with decent each way chances are OUR THREE SONS who fell whilst leading last time out, it's got a prominent running style and may indeed also need further than this but if allowed to get in to a nice rhythm may take some pegging back. At bigger odds I think there is value in ALRAMZ who is a Course winner who has tried trips between 2 and 3 miles, should improve for recent seasonal debut and this trip could be ideal. On to TRACK forwards whatever happens to today as it builds fitness.
 
TRACKER - Our Three Sons (shrapnel - Alramz)